MD-08 House election: Nancy Wallace vote percent

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 1% (93.0%), At least 2% (73.0%), At least 3% (35.0%). The market has $10K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 1%93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
At least 2%73.0%73.0¢27.0¢
At least 3%35.0%35.0¢65.0¢
At least 4%15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
At least 5%12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
At least 6%9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
At least 7%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 1%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Nancy Wallace in the 2026 MD-08 House election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Nancy Wallace ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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