MD-04 House election: Glenn Ivey vote percent

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 82% (92.0%), At least 84% (86.0%), At least 86% (75.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 82%92.0%92.0¢8.0¢
At least 84%86.0%86.0¢14.0¢
At least 86%75.0%75.0¢25.0¢
At least 88%60.0%60.0¢40.0¢
At least 90%42.0%42.0¢58.0¢
At least 92%22.0%22.0¢78.0¢
At least 94%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
At least 96%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
At least 98%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 82%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Glenn Ivey in the 2026 MD-04 House election is 82% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Glenn Ivey ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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