LA-04 House election: Mike Johnson vote percent (1st Round)
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:06 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 48% (89.0%), At least 50% (83.0%), At least 52% (77.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| At least 50% | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| At least 52% | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| At least 54% | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| At least 56% | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| At least 58% | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| At least 60% | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| At least 62% | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| At least 63% | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| At least 64% | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| At least 66% | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| At least 70% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| At least 68% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 48%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Johnson in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Mike Johnson ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the first round of voting.
Sources
Related markets
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.