LA-03 House election: Caleb Walker vote percent (1st Round)
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 2% (97.0%), At least 4% (96.0%), At least 6% (82.0%). The market has $22K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 2% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 4% | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| At least 6% | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| At least 7% | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| At least 8% | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| At least 9% | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| At least 10% | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| At least 12% | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 44% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 34% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 36% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 38% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 28% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 40% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $22K
- Liquidity: $22K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 2%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Caleb Walker in the first round of the 2026 LA-03 House election is 2% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Caleb Walker ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the first round of voting.
Sources
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