KY-06 House election: Ralph Alvarado vote percent

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:38 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 46% (88.0%), At least 48% (69.0%), At least 50% (45.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 46%88.0%88.0¢12.0¢
At least 48%69.0%69.0¢31.0¢
At least 50%45.0%45.0¢55.0¢
At least 52%24.0%24.0¢76.0¢
At least 54%10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
At least 56%8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
At least 58%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
At least 60%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
At least 62%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 46%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ralph Alvarado in the 2026 KY-06 House election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Ralph Alvarado ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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