IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 19:53:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 20% (97.0%), At least 22% (96.0%), At least 24% (86.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 20% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 22% | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| At least 24% | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| At least 26% | 72.0% | 72.0¢ | 28.0¢ |
| At least 28% | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| At least 30% | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| At least 32% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| At least 34% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 38% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 36% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 20%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Lupe Castillo in the 2026 IL-04 House election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Lupe Castillo ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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