CA-51 House election: Ricardo Cabrera vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:12 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 30% (94.0%), At least 28% (93.0%), At least 32% (84.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 30% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 28% | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| At least 32% | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| At least 34% | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| At least 36% | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| At least 38% | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| At least 40% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| At least 44% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 30%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ricardo Cabrera in the 2026 CA-51 House election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Ricardo Cabrera ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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