VA-01 House election: Shannon Taylor vote percent

As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 15:14:55 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 42% (95.0%), At least 46% (93.0%), At least 44% (93.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 42%95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
At least 46%93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
At least 44%93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
At least 48%81.0%81.0¢19.0¢
At least 50%62.0%62.0¢38.0¢
At least 52%36.0%36.0¢64.0¢
At least 54%17.0%17.0¢83.0¢
At least 56%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 42%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Shannon Taylor in the 2026 VA-01 House election is 42% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Shannon Taylor ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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