NY-17 House election: Mike Lawler vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 40% (94.0%), At least 42% (91.0%), At least 44% (90.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| At least 44% | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| At least 46% | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| At least 48% | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| At least 50% | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| At least 52% | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| At least 54% | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 40%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Lawler in the 2026 NY-17 House election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Mike Lawler ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Votes for Mike Lawler across all certified ballot lines are combined.
Sources
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