NM-02 House election: Gabe Vasquez vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:13 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 50% (91.0%), At least 48% (91.0%), At least 52% (81.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| At least 48% | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| At least 52% | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| At least 54% | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| At least 56% | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| At least 58% | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| At least 60% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| At least 62% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 64% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 50%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Gabe Vasquez in the 2026 NM-02 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Gabe Vasquez ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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