Vermont Governor election: Phil Scott vote percent

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 45% (96.0%), At least 48% (84.0%), At least 50% (66.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 45%96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
At least 48%84.0%84.0¢16.0¢
At least 50%66.0%66.0¢34.0¢
At least 51%54.0%54.0¢46.0¢
At least 54%24.0%24.0¢76.0¢
At least 57%8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
At least 66%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
At least 72%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
At least 69%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
At least 63%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
At least 75%5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
At least 60%4.0%4.0¢96.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 45%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Scott in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Phil Scott ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the popular vote, not any subsequent legislative vote.

Sources

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