New Mexico Governor election: Deb Haaland vote percent

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:42 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 50% (94.0%), At least 46% (94.0%), At least 48% (93.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 50%94.0%94.0¢6.0¢
At least 46%94.0%94.0¢6.0¢
At least 48%93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
At least 52%84.0%84.0¢16.0¢
At least 54%67.0%67.0¢33.0¢
At least 56%45.0%45.0¢55.0¢
At least 58%26.0%26.0¢74.0¢
At least 60%12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
At least 62%9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
At least 64%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 50%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Deb Haaland in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Deb Haaland ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.