7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 28, 2026?
As of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 16:54:41 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.8% or above (99.0%), 4.82% or above (99.0%), 4.84% or above (99.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Wed, 28 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.8% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.04% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.02% or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 4.96% or above | 66.0% | 66.0¢ | 34.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| 4.98% or above | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| 4.76% or above | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| 5% or above | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.96% or above:
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 28, 2026, or one week following Oct 28, 2026.
Sources
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