7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?
As of Wed, 21 Oct 2026 19:13:41 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.93% or above (99.0%), 4.97% or above (99.0%), 4.95% or above (99.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Wed, 21 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.93% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.97% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.95% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.99% or above | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| 4.91% or above | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| 5.01% or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 5.03% or above | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| 5.05% or above | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| 5.09% or above | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| 5.07% or above | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| 5.13% or above | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 5.11% or above | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| 5.15% or above | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| 5.17% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.19% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.99% or above:
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.98% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.
Sources
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