7Y US Treasury yield on Friday?
As of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 16:54:43 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.71% or above (97.0%), 4.73% or above (96.0%), 4.77% or above (96.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Fri, 30 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.71% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.73% or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 4.77% or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 4.75% or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 4.85% or above | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| 4.79% or above | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| 4.87% or above | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| 4.81% or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 4.83% or above | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| 4.89% or above | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| 4.91% or above | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| 4.93% or above | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| 4.95% or above | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| 4.97% or above | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| 4.99% or above | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.73% or above:
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.72% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.
Sources
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