5Y US Treasury yield on Friday?
As of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 14:34:24 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.66% or above (93.0%), 4.74% or above (88.0%), 4.68% or above (87.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Fri, 30 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.66% or above | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| 4.74% or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 4.68% or above | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| 4.76% or above | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| 4.7% or above | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| 4.72% or above | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 79.0% | 79.0¢ | 21.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| 4.8% or above | 72.0% | 72.0¢ | 28.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.66% or above:
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.65% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.
Sources
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