5Y US Treasury yield on Friday?
As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 22:34:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.66% or above (67.0%), 4.68% or above (57.0%), 4.7% or above (48.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Fri, 06 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.66% or above | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| 4.68% or above | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| 4.7% or above | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| 4.72% or above | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| 4.74% or above | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| 4.76% or above | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| 4.8% or above | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.66% or above:
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.65% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
Sources
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