30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 27, 2026?

As of Tue, 27 Oct 2026 17:18:18 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.21% or above (99.0%), 5.23% or above (99.0%), 5.25% or above (99.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Tue, 27 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
5.21% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5.23% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5.25% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5.27% or above97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
5.29% or above89.0%89.0¢11.0¢
5.31% or above45.0%45.0¢55.0¢
5.33% or above17.0%17.0¢83.0¢
5.35% or above10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
5.37% or above3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
5.47% or above2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
5.49% or above2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
5.39% or above2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
5.41% or above2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
5.43% or above2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
5.45% or above2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.47% or above:

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.46% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 27, 2026, or one week following Oct 27, 2026.

Sources

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