30Y US Treasury yield on Nov 5, 2026?
As of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 17:08:44 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.2% or above (99.0%), 5.16% or above (99.0%), 5.18% or above (98.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 05 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.2% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.16% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.18% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 5.22% or above | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| 5.24% or above | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| 5.26% or above | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| 5.28% or above | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| 5.3% or above | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| 5.32% or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 5.34% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.38% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.4% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.42% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.44% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.36% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.2% or above:
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.19% on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 5, 2026, or one week following Nov 5, 2026.
Sources
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