30Y US Treasury yield on Nov 2, 2026?
As of Mon, 02 Nov 2026 01:39:34 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.16% or above (99.0%), 5.18% or above (99.0%), 5.2% or above (98.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Mon, 02 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.16% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.18% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.2% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 5.22% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 5.24% or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 5.26% or above | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| 5.28% or above | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| 5.3% or above | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| 5.32% or above | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| 5.34% or above | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| 5.36% or above | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| 5.4% or above | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| 5.38% or above | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| 5.42% or above | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| 5.44% or above | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.16% or above:
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.15% on Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 2, 2026, or one week following Nov 2, 2026.
Sources
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