2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 29, 2026?
As of Thu, 29 Oct 2026 09:00:15 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.76% or above (97.0%), 4.78% or above (97.0%), 4.8% or above (97.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Thu, 29 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.76% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.8% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.62% or above | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| 4.56% or above | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| 4.58% or above | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| 4.6% or above | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| 4.64% or above | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| 4.66% or above | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| 4.68% or above | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| 4.7% or above | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| 4.74% or above | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| 4.72% or above | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $7K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.56% or above:
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.55% on Oct 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 29, 2026, or one week following Oct 29, 2026.
Sources
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