2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026?
As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 16:03:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.53% or above (99.0%), 4.55% or above (99.0%), 4.61% or above (98.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 26 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.53% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.55% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.61% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.57% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.51% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.59% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.63% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.65% or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 4.67% or above | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| 4.69% or above | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| 4.71% or above | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| 4.73% or above | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| 4.77% or above | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| 4.75% or above | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| 4.79% or above | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.73% or above:
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.72% on Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 26, 2026, or one week following Oct 26, 2026.
Sources
Related markets
- How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
- How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
- S&P close price end of 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.