2Y US Treasury yield on Friday?
As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 22:34:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.5% or above (90.0%), 4.46% or above (86.0%), 4.48% or above (84.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Fri, 06 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5% or above | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| 4.46% or above | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| 4.48% or above | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| 4.52% or above | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| 4.54% or above | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| 4.56% or above | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| 4.58% or above | 59.0% | 59.0¢ | 41.0¢ |
| 4.6% or above | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| 4.62% or above | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| 4.64% or above | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| 4.66% or above | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| 4.7% or above | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| 4.72% or above | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| 4.68% or above | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| 4.74% or above | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.48% or above:
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.47% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
Sources
Related markets
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
- S&P close price end of 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay this year?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.