10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 28, 2026?
As of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 14:57:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.88% or above (99.0%), 4.9% or above (99.0%), 4.92% or above (98.0%). The market has $25K in volume and closes on Wed, 28 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.88% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 4.96% or above | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| 5% or above | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| 4.98% or above | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| 5.02% or above | 66.0% | 66.0¢ | 34.0¢ |
| 5.04% or above | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| 5.06% or above | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| 5.08% or above | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| 5.1% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.12% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.14% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $25K
- Liquidity: $25K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.86% or above:
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 28, 2026, or one week following Oct 28, 2026.
Sources
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