10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026?
As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 09:04:32 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.81% or above (99.0%), 4.83% or above (99.0%), 4.85% or above (99.0%). The market has $32K in volume and closes on Mon, 26 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.81% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.83% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.85% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.87% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.89% or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 4.91% or above | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| 4.93% or above | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| 4.95% or above | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| 4.97% or above | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| 4.99% or above | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| 5.01% or above | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| 5.03% or above | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| 5.05% or above | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| 5.07% or above | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 5.09% or above | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $32K
- Liquidity: $32K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.87% or above:
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.86% on Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 26, 2026, or one week following Oct 26, 2026.
Sources
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