10Y US Treasury yield on Nov 5, 2026?
As of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 11:06:53 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.83% or above (93.0%), 4.81% or above (91.0%), 4.85% or above (84.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 05 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.83% or above | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| 4.81% or above | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| 4.85% or above | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| 4.87% or above | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| 4.89% or above | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| 4.91% or above | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| 4.93% or above | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| 4.97% or above | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| 4.95% or above | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| 4.99% or above | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| 5.03% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.01% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.05% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.07% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.09% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.89% or above:
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.88% on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 5, 2026, or one week following Nov 5, 2026.
Sources
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