Who will run for U.S. Senate in 2028?
As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 11:29:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price Tim Burchett (75.0%), Ben Wikler (67.0%), Mike Dunleavy (51.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jul 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Burchett | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| Ben Wikler | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| Mike Dunleavy | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Rich McCormick | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Jeff Jackson | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| Pat Grassley | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Bryan Steil | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| Joe Lombardo | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Ritchie Torres | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Brian Kemp | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Thomas Massie | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Chris Sununu | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Don Davis | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Doug Ducey | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Kari Lake | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Tim Burchett:
If Tim Burchett has announced that they will run for any United States Senate seat in 2028 after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for a United States Senate seat on the 2028 ballot, and a special election held in 2028 counts. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT count. Announcing a campaign to contest a seat as an independent, or for any party's nomination, resolves to Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves to Yes.
Sources
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