US retail sales in September
As of Thu, 15 Oct 2026 07:58:09 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above -0.4% (69.0%), Above -0.2% (56.0%), Above 0.0% (50.0%). The market has $15K in volume and closes on Thu, 22 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above -0.4% | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| Above -0.2% | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| Above 0.0% | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Above 0.2% | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| Above 1.2% | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| Above 1.4% | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| Above 0.6% | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Above 1.0% | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Above 0.4% | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Above 0.8% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $15K
- Liquidity: $15K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above -0.4%:
If the United States retail sales MoM for September 2026 is above -0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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