Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race this year?
As of Thu, 17 Sep 2026 12:39:16 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (42.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Tue, 10 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $9K
- Liquidity: $9K
- Closes:
Sources
Related markets
- Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Blue wave this year?
- Blue tsunami this year?
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- Maine-Texas Senate Combo
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.