Will Tesla layoff 3,000 employees before October 1, 2026?

As of Thu, 10 Sep 2026 13:31:19 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (2.0%). The market has $16K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If any Source Agency explicitly confirms, between Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, that Tesla has announced layoffs affecting at least 3,000 employees in aggregate, then the market resolves to Yes. “Affecting at least 3,000 employees in aggregate” means one or more qualifying layoff announcements made before October 1, 2026 that explicitly total 3,000 or more employees. Employees must be identified as Tesla employees; contractors and unfilled roles do not count unless explicitly described as employees.

Sources

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