Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch?
As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 09:05:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Apr 1, 2027 (65.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (52.0%), Before Dec 1, 2026 (34.0%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Fri, 08 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $13K
- Liquidity: $13K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Apr 1, 2027:
If construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Sources
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