Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 21, 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 22:01:42 UTC, Kalshi traders price 38.8% (33.0%), 38.7% (15.0%), 38.9% (15.0%). The market has $21K in volume and closes on Wed, 21 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38.8% | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| 38.7% | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| 38.9% | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| 38.6% | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Below 38.6% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 39.0% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 39.1% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 39.2% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above 39.2% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $21K
- Liquidity: $21K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 38.8%:
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
Sources
Related markets
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?
- Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.