Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026?

As of Thu, 15 Oct 2026 10:11:08 UTC, Kalshi traders price 38.8% (42.0%), 38.7% (25.0%), Above 38.8% (10.0%). The market has $300K in volume and closes on Thu, 15 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
38.8%42.0%42.0¢58.0¢
38.7%25.0%25.0¢75.0¢
Above 38.8%10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
38.5%9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
38.6%8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
38.3%4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
38.4%4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Below 38.2%3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
38.2%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Sources

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