How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
As of Thu, 01 Oct 2026 23:29:31 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 45% (7.0%), Above 43% (6.0%), Above 44% (5.0%). The market has $156K in volume and closes on Thu, 07 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 45% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Above 43% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Above 44% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above 46% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above 47% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 50% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 48% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 49% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $156K
- Liquidity: $156K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 45%:
If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is above 45%, then the market resolves to Yes. In order to fulfill the Payout Criterion, the threshold need only be met once during the period.
Sources
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