How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 7k (95.0%), Above 8k (91.0%), Above 9k (72.0%). The market has $18K in volume and closes on Fri, 08 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 7k | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 8k | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| Above 9k | 72.0% | 72.0¢ | 28.0¢ |
| Above 10k | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| Above 11k | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $18K
- Liquidity: $18K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 7k:
If the total number of tuberculosis disease cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 7000, then the market resolves to Yes. Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8). Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026. See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized. This market refers exclusively to human cases.
Sources
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