Texas State House winner?

As of Mon, 24 Aug 2026 14:14:37 UTC, Kalshi traders price Republican party (82.0%), Democratic party (18.0%). The market has $14K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Republican party82.0%82.0¢18.0¢
Democratic party18.0%18.0¢82.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Republican party:

If the Republican party wins the Texas House of Representatives in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the House of Representatives is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

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