When will the S&P 500 Index be above $8,000?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 00:21:50 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Mar 1, 2027 (87.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (69.0%), Before Feb 1, 2027 (65.0%). The market has $36K in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Mar 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $36K
- Liquidity: $36K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Mar 1, 2027:
If the value of the S&P 500 Index is above $8,000 at any point after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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