Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q4?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price Twilio (96.0%), Cheniere Energy (30.0%), Astera Labs (24.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Twilio96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Cheniere Energy30.0%30.0¢70.0¢
Astera Labs24.0%24.0¢76.0¢
Okta16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
Credo Technology13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Affirm Holdings12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
Snowflake9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Circle Internet Group9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
ATI9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
LPL Financial9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Natera9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Rocket Companies9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Southern Copper9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
TPG9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Tradeweb Markets9.0%9.0¢91.0¢

Market details

Sources

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