Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco?
As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 11:13:45 UTC, Kalshi traders price Proposition H (98.0%), Proposition E (97.0%), Proposition A (97.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Proposition H | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Proposition E | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Proposition A | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Proposition F | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Proposition G | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Proposition H:
If Proposition H passes in San Francisco, then the market resolves to Yes. A measure "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules (whether simple majority, supermajority, or other threshold), meets any minimum voter turnout requirements if applicable, and is certified as passed by the official electoral authority. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
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