What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?
As of Thu, 01 Oct 2026 22:41:25 UTC, Kalshi traders price 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals (75.0%), 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals (13.0%), Not nine justices (8.0%). The market has $30K in volume and closes on Sat, 20 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Not nine justices | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 8 Conservatives and 1 Liberals | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 9 Conservatives and 0 Liberals | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $30K
- Liquidity: $30K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals:
If on Jan 20, 2029 there are 6 Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and 3 Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes. If there are not nine justices at the time of Expiration, then that strike will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
Sources
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