When will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 08:27:46 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before 2035 (48.0%), Before 2032 (47.0%), Before 2030 (33.0%). The market has $149K in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Jan 2035.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2035 | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Before 2032 | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| Before 2030 | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| Before 2028 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $149K
- Liquidity: $149K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before 2035:
If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes. The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete solution of the specified problem. The solution must be a positive proof as originally stated, not a counterexample or disproof (unless the market specifically includes counterexamples). Announcements of submitted solutions, peer-reviewed publications without CMI verification, or partial solutions do not qualify. If a mathematician solves a problem but declines the monetary prize, the market still resolves to Yes if CMI officially announces the prize award.
Sources
Related markets
- When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Who will win the Fields Medal this year?
- When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?
- When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
- When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
- Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.