Number of Republican governors after the midterms?
As of Fri, 23 Oct 2026 15:22:35 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 21 (82.0%), At least 22 (69.0%), At least 23 (47.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Fri, 06 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 21 | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| At least 22 | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| At least 23 | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| At least 24 | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| At least 25 | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| At least 26 | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| At least 27 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| At least 28 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $11K
- Liquidity: $11K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 21:
If the number of governorships controlled by Republicans is at least 21 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract, then the market resolves to Yes. Any vacant governorship for which no election will be held in November 2026 will be treated as belonging to the party of the last person to hold that office. This count only applies to U.S. states.
Sources
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