Global remittances sent this year
As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 09:05:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $500 billion (86.0%), Above $550 billion (71.0%), Above $600 billion (50.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Mon, 08 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $500 billion | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| Above $550 billion | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| Above $600 billion | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Above $650 billion | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| Above $700 billion | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Above $750 billion | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Above $800 billion | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $500 billion:
If global personal remittances sent in 2026 are above $500 billion, according to the World Bank’s July 2028 WDI archive or the subsequent qualifying archive specified below, then the market resolves to Yes. Use the 2026 “World” value for “Personal remittances, paid (current US$)” (BM.TRF.PWKR.CD.DT) in the July 2028 WDI archive as initially published. If that archive is unavailable or omits the value, use the first subsequent archive containing it published by December 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET. Include revisions incorporated into the selected vintage and ignore subsequent changes. Divide the reported dollar value by 1 billion without rounding before comparison with the strike.
Sources
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