Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin?
As of Sat, 31 Oct 2026 08:19:21 UTC, Kalshi traders price Talarico by 10-15 (24.0%), Talarico by 5-10 (22.0%), Talarico by 0-5 (20.0%). The market has $27K in volume and closes on Sat, 09 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Talarico by 10-15 | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| Talarico by 5-10 | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| Talarico by 0-5 | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Talarico by 15+ | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Raman by 5-10 | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Raman by 0-5 | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Raman by 10-15 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Raman by 15+ | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $27K
- Liquidity: $27K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Talarico by 10-15:
If James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election minus Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election is between 10 and 15 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.
Sources
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