What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 03:31:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price Oil (62.0%), Coal (14.0%), Gas (4.0%). The market has $152K in volume and closes on Tue, 31 Dec 2030.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| Coal | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Gas | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Hydropower | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Nuclear | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Modern biofuels | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Other renewables | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Solar | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Traditional biomass | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Wind | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $152K
- Liquidity: $152K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Oil:
If Oil is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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