2028 Republican presidential nominee
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:15:48 UTC, Kalshi traders price J.D. Vance (43.0%), Marco Rubio (19.0%), Ron DeSantis (4.8%). The market has $69.8M in volume and closes on Tue, 07 Nov 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| Marco Rubio | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Ron DeSantis | 4.8% | 4.8¢ | 95.2¢ |
| Tucker Carlson | 2.5% | 2.5¢ | 97.5¢ |
| Donald J. Trump | 2.2% | 2.2¢ | 97.8¢ |
| Donald J. Trump Jr. | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Ted Cruz | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Chris Sununu | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Pete Hegseth | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Rand Paul | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Ben Shapiro | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Chris Christie | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Glenn Youngkin | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| John Kennedy | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Katie Britt | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Cruz | Opinion | 3.5% | |
| Thomas Massie | Opinion | 9.9% | |
| Nikki Haley | Opinion | 92.1% |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $69.8M
- Liquidity: $69.8M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for J.D. Vance:
If J.D. Vance wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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