Headline PCE inflation in August 2026
As of Wed, 30 Sep 2026 01:58:41 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 0.0% (99.0%), Above 0.1% (97.0%), Above 0.2% (90.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Wed, 07 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0.0% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 0.1% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 0.2% | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| Above 0.3% | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Above 0.4% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above 0.5% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above 0.6% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 0.0%:
If the headline PCE inflation for August 2026 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, including food and energy, published in the Personal Income and Outlays release for August 2026. The first officially published August 2026 value will be used. Subsequent revisions will not affect the market outcome.
Sources
Related markets
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI in September
- How high will inflation get this year?
- CPI in October
- Core CPI in October
- CPI YoY in November
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