How much will core PCE increase this month?
As of Thu, 29 Oct 2026 13:43:36 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 0.0% (95.0%), Above 0.1% (85.0%), Above 0.2% (54.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 25 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0.0% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 0.1% | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Above 0.2% | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| Above 0.3% | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| Above 0.4% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 0.0%:
If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in October 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data. It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.
Sources
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