How many people will Trump pardon this year?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:24 UTC, Kalshi traders price 100 to 499 (52.0%), 500 to 999 (19.0%), 1000 or more (14.0%). The market has $20K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 to 499 | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| 500 to 999 | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| 1000 or more | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| 50 to 99 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| 25 to 49 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $20K
- Liquidity: $20K
- Closes:
Sources
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DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.