How many Pennsylvania mail ballots will be requested?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 19:53:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 1.2 million (92.0%), At least 1.25 million (83.0%), At least 1.3 million (68.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.

Updated: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 19:53:10 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
At least 1.2 million	92.0%	92.0¢	8.0¢
At least 1.25 million	83.0%	83.0¢	17.0¢
At least 1.3 million	68.0%	68.0¢	32.0¢
At least 1.35 million	26.0%	26.0¢	74.0¢
At least 1.4 million	22.0%	22.0¢	78.0¢
At least 1.45 million	19.0%	19.0¢	81.0¢
At least 1.6 million	14.0%	14.0¢	86.0¢
At least 1.5 million	14.0%	14.0¢	86.0¢
At least 1.7 million	12.0%	12.0¢	88.0¢

Market details

Venue: Kalshi
Volume: $1K
Liquidity: $1K
Closes: Wed, 04 Nov 2026

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 1.2 million:

If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the headline "Mail ballots requested" figure at the top of the Pennsylvania page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. If the page is unavailable at that time, the request_all value for Pennsylvania in the UF Election Lab's 2026 early vote data file (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/data-downloads/earlyvote/2026/US.csv) as of that time is used. Updates posted after that time are not counted.

Sources

Source: Kalshi market

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